Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Domestic Violence: Not Just a Western Issue

    (source: Daily Mail)

The image above is the first domestic violence awareness ad in Saudi Arabia. It is certainly an important step toward not only eventual equality (note that this equality may be different in parts from the Western definition), but more critically, it acknowledges that a problem exists that can no longer be overlooked.

Curiously, the English and Arabic versions have not just different statements, but different connotations. While the English text reads "Some things can't be covered," the Arabic translates to "the tip of the iceberg." The English is a very Western play on words given the covered women's wear. The Arabic meanwhile, hints at a much larger problem that needs to be addressed.

Sunday, April 28, 2013

The Chorus Grows Louder: Syria & WMD

Are they or aren't they? And who is they - the government or the rebels? The only known known, as Donald Rumsfeld would eloquently put it, is that the mess in Syria is turning into a quagmire.

Rumblings of chemical WMD use in the Syrian conflict are not new. New images seem to strongly suggest that conventional weapons are not solely in play. Moreover, American intelligence affirms this position and indicates that sarin has been used, but on a small scale (Syria denies this American "lie"). Unfortunately, as with previous evidence, it doesn't seem that any country, with the United States in particular, is really willing to do anything about it other than utilize euphemisms for further investigation and delayed action. In a sense, the United States is saying that there's evidence, but not clear-cut proof. Figure that?

It seems that the line in the sand, which seemed so clear in the past based on American statements, has blurred with the wind. Given recent history and even considering older military history (dating as far back as World War I), the United States is visibly shaken by the potential problems of confronting chemical weapons militarily. While those weapons pose significant threat to Americans, putting soldiers on the ground to eliminate them seems to be a line in itself. It seems doubtful that in all this time, no special force has been organized and trained to tackle such an obvious concern.

Despite all this, it is time to take a position, whether it be showing force (regional deployment) or showing presence (drones). Something must be done. Or will the world stand by as another civil war drags months into years and death and destruction into the everyday? Just in the past few decades, the world watched Somalia, Congo, and Yugoslavia - do we really need another example? Where are the massive protests about inaction? Where is the public outcry? It seems that the Syrian conflict's human toll has gone overlooked in the face of political calculations.

It's important to remember that sometimes the war we try to avoid is the war that drags us in. Perhaps we can truly preempt such a calamity by taking a stance now and beginning to end the madness.

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

On Boston and WMD

Yesterday, Dzhokhar Tsarnaev (the younger of the two brothers responsible for the Boston Marathon bombings) was charged with using a weapon of mass destruction.  Although the brothers' actions were certainly terrible, do they really warrant the loaded terminology of using WMD?

Yes, according to the current federal statute that defines "weapons of mass destruction."  Specifically, the term "weapon of mass destruction" includes "any destructive device" such as
(A) any explosive, incendiary, or poison gas—
(i) bomb,
(ii) grenade,
(iii) rocket having a propellant charge of more than four ounces,
(iv) missile having an explosive or incendiary charge of more than one-quarter ounce,
(v) mine, or
(vi) device similar to any of the devices described in the preceding clauses;
As Danger Room's Spencer Ackerman perhaps presciently pointed out almost a month ago, this overbroad definition begins to blur the distinction between types of weaponry.  Ackerman also noted the inherent "threat inflation" when one party accuses another of possessing or using WMD.

While the bombings in Boston were horrific and tragic, they were exactly that -- bombings.  Making any bomb, grenade, or rocket a WMD, however, dilutes the term.  This is the same issues facing international law courts and scholars who must address calls to expand the definition of genocide.  The fact that the Boston killings aren't a WMD attack in the traditional nomenclature does not and should not in any way downplay the horror of the attacks nor lessen the panoply of options available to federal and state prosecutors.  However, aligning federal criminal statutes with the more conventional understanding of WMD terminology would in the end help lessen confusion -- such as that experienced by many when they found out that pressure-cooker bombs are "WMD."

Thursday, April 18, 2013

Crowdsourced Intelligence

In the nexus between terrorism and technology, there are really only two standards floating upon a sea of change. The first is that despite the plethora of seemingly endlessly advancing technologies available, terrorists consistently utilize some of the most basic accouterments. While Black swan events such as nuclear terrorist elicit concern, it is the everyday kitchen anarchist who creates terror. The second standard is that it is equally impossible to determine beforehand what available technologies will be used to track down (and, in cases, eliminate the terrorist threat). In a mere decade, the United States has progressed from meticulous house-to-house searches to unmanned drones that stalk the night for hours.

In the case of the Boston Marathon bombing, one interesting trend that has developed is the utilization of internet forums to sift through the vast amount of facts (video, stills, etc.) surrounding the attack to crowdsource intelligence on potential suspects based on group analyzation. Up to five potential suspects have been identified, though more officially, only two are being sought. If the pattern is limited to providing intelligence to the appropriate sources, then the vast amount of data being recorded each day is not beneficial to terrorist operations; however, if crowdsourcing moves beyond intelligence review on its face and to tracking those people down, the downsides of ruining a potentially innocent person's life have already been made clear in much more benign circumstances.

It is definitely a fine line to walk, but authorities did request assistance on information on the bombing. That information started to sift in quickly and it will likely not be so long before we start to see whether any, or all, of it is accurate.

Monday, April 15, 2013

Sticking to the Facts is the Hardest Part...

When it comes to terrorist incidents, sticking to the facts is the hardest thing to do. Conversations naturally boil down to polemics that insinuate motive and reasoning. It's easy to forget, for example, that Muslim terrorists were initially blamed for the Oklahoma City bombing in 1995. Therefore, initial reports that a Saudi national was the prime suspect may prove to be a dead lead.

The facts are limited, but also clear:

1. This was nearly certainly a terrorist attack (even if the President is hesitant to use that word). Some initial reports that it may have been a gas explosion are likely to be unfounded.

2. There were multiple explosive devices. Some reports suggest up to seven, although this could later come to be far too extensive (and is already being noted as such). For 5/7 devices to fail would be significant.

3. There was likely shrapnel in the explosive device. This suggests more of an intent to kill than injure, maim, or elicit terror.

That's pretty much the extent of the facts right now, apart from the casualties. It's too early to label the bombing as international terrorism or Muslim extremism - it could very well turn out to be right-wing extremism and/or domestic terrorism.

For the time being, while the professionals do their work, it's best to help those in need and keep those in Boston in mind.